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Red21
237310.9
182514.3
52535.4
Blue3
24570.6
17695.5
66211.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions358020406080100213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#1
35.40.8
18.918.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.9
662
#14
11.50.8
5.64.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1825
#12
14.30.8
5.14.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
1769
#34
5.50.8
2.31.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2373
#23
10.90.8
7.16.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.3
2457
#35
0.60.8
4.23.5
Auto
Teleop
End