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Red51
47622.2
37988.4
241021.5
Blue0
17234.1
19845.9
20010.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253406080100510

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
476
#4
22.22.5
8.911.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.3
1984
#36
5.90.5
0.80.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2410
#11
21.52.5
10.412.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.4
1723
#54
4.10.5
4.23.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3798
#29
8.42.5
2.14.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
2001
#53
0.50.5
1.10.6
Auto
Teleop
End