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Red34
198224.7
23573.5
23532.6
Blue95
198630.3
181027.8
47622.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2086040601001201401603495

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1982
#20
24.70.3
24.324.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
30.31.3
28.930.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2357
#28
3.50.3
3.23.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.4
27.81.4
25.626.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2353
#43
2.60.3
2.32.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.6
476
#4
22.21.3
21.622.8
Auto
Teleop
End