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Red6
171018.2
17771.9
18273.8
Blue34
182514.3
193923.7
18023.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254406080100120634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1710
#18
18.21.4
18.917.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
23.70.5
23.222.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1827
#38
3.81.4
5.23.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.5
1825
#12
14.30.5
13.813.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1777
#40
1.91.6
3.51.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
1802
#25
3.90.5
4.43.9
Auto
Teleop
End