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Quarterfinal 2-22011 St. Louis Regional
Red62
109414.2
118222.5
17239.4
Blue35
379212.6
120819.7
240811.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434720306070806235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1182
#9
22.50.3
21.5→21.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.8
1208
#14
19.70.2
20.5→20.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1094
#5
14.20.3
13.2→13.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.6
3792
#6
12.60.2
13.4→13.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1723
#19
9.40.3
8.5→8.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.3
2408
#15
11.60.2
12.4→12.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—