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Semifinal 2-12011 St. Louis Regional
Red30
170610.5
93121.8
38587.0
Blue75
132918.6
109825.4
38683.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375202060801003075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
931
#3
21.80.2
21.8→21.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.5
1098
#12
25.40.4
25.9→26.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1706
#7
10.50.2
10.5→10.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 8.1
1329
#4
18.60.5
19.2→19.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3858
#20
7.00.2
6.9→6.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.2
3868
#24
3.80.4
4.4→4.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—