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Red40
353615.1
2539.2
34725.3
Blue68
310312.5
30234.6
23620.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676740506070804068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#20
39.21.4
44.042.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
302
#26
34.60.0
35.435.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3536
#78
15.11.4
17.416.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
236
#53
20.20.0
19.619.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3472
#87
5.31.4
5.94.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.2
3103
#44
12.50.0
12.112.2
Auto
Teleop
End