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Red0
26557.5
38801.7
328430.9
Blue40
354727.2
353615.1
219710.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50540100150200040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3284
#40
30.92.6
36.534.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
3547
#11
27.20.7
26.125.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2655
#58
7.52.6
8.76.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
3536
#78
15.10.7
17.617.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3880
#63
1.72.6
5.83.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.7
2197
#74
10.40.7
10.09.3
Auto
Teleop
End