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Quarterfinal 3-22011 New Jersey Regional
Red0
48616.1
4235.5
29310.7
Blue23
19212.6
272913.9
121829.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29670204080100120140160023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
486
#6
16.10.8
16.9→16.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 13.6
1218
#12
29.70.9
31.4→30.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
293
#34
10.70.8
11.5→10.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.2
2729
#11
13.90.9
15.7→14.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
423
#2
5.50.8
6.2→5.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 7.2
192
#20
12.60.9
14.3→13.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—