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Quarterfinal 4-12011 New Jersey Regional
Red124
186014.5
2527.5
192322.3
Blue22
108921.6
164712.9
10210.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63380208010012014012422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#28
27.51.4
26.0→27.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.9
1089
#8
21.60.4
20.6→20.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1923
#3
22.31.4
20.7→22.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.3
1647
#9
12.90.4
12.0→11.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1860
#24
14.51.6
12.8→14.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.3
102
#26
10.20.5
9.2→8.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—