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Quarterfinal 4-22011 New Jersey Regional
Red54
2527.5
192322.3
186014.5
Blue65
108921.6
10210.2
164712.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions693602060801001201401605465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#28
27.50.2
27.4→27.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.9
1089
#8
21.60.5
20.2→20.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1923
#3
22.30.2
22.1→21.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.3
1647
#9
12.90.5
11.6→12.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1860
#24
14.50.2
14.3→14.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.3
102
#26
10.20.6
8.7→9.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—