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Quarterfinal 4-32011 New Jersey Regional
Red79
186014.5
2527.5
192322.3
Blue85
10210.2
108921.6
164712.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions683802060801001201401607985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#28
27.50.4
27.2→27.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.9
1089
#8
21.61.0
20.8→21.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1923
#3
22.30.4
21.9→22.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.3
1647
#9
12.91.0
12.1→13.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1860
#24
14.50.4
14.1→14.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.3
102
#26
10.21.0
9.3→10.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—