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Qual 102011 New Jersey Regional
Red6
5553.4
10210.2
2527.5
Blue56
167635.1
130213.5
24954.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions432206080100120140656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#28
27.52.8
20.2→17.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 7.6
1676
#1
35.12.6
14.8→17.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
102
#26
10.22.8
11.2→8.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.3
1302
#18
13.52.6
5.3→7.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
555
#46
3.42.8
8.8→5.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.9
2495
#53
4.42.6
5.3→7.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—