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Qual 112011 New Jersey Regional
Red30
272913.9
192322.3
21917.6
Blue13
30319.6
12286.8
164712.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232201030405060703013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#3
22.30.6
7.8→8.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.7
303
#16
19.60.9
10.7→9.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2729
#11
13.90.6
13.4→14.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.0
1647
#9
12.90.9
8.7→7.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2191
#14
7.60.6
1.0→1.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.8
1228
#4
6.80.9
3.9→3.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—