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Semifinal 2-22011 Buckeye Regional
Red0
155930.8
301018.6
313832.2
Blue87
103827.3
319321.8
14411.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87540100150087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3138
#14
32.21.4
32.2→30.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.8
1038
#4
27.30.5
27.1→27.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1559
#3
30.81.4
30.8→29.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.0
3193
#5
21.80.5
21.6→22.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3010
#20
18.61.8
18.6→16.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.5
144
#45
11.10.6
10.8→11.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—