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Red109
313832.2
155930.8
301018.6
Blue50
103827.3
14411.1
319321.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8157010015010950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3138
#14
32.20.5
30.831.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
27.30.2
27.527.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
30.80.5
29.430.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.0
21.80.2
22.021.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3010
#20
18.60.7
16.817.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
144
#45
11.10.2
11.411.1
Auto
Teleop
End