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Red6
33824.8
359014.3
37398.9
Blue83
78135.2
18357.4
130519.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9610204080100120140683

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3590
#11
14.30.9
7.86.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.9
781
#5
35.21.5
30.431.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3739
#18
8.90.9
5.24.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.6
19.41.5
18.019.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3382
#23
4.80.9
4.43.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
1835
#14
7.42.5
5.07.5
Auto
Teleop
End