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Red30
35432.6
133421.9
35504.7
Blue0
13255.2
2076-2.1
33876.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307020406080300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.90.2
19.319.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.7
3387
#35
6.20.9
7.36.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3550
#22
4.70.3
4.95.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1325
#24
5.20.5
3.63.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3543
#17
2.60.3
2.02.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
2076
#34
-2.10.9
-0.2-1.1
Auto
Teleop
End