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Quarterfinal 1-12011 Autodesk Oregon Regional
Red79
198337.4
366318.0
204622.2
Blue77
255725.8
48819.8
95623.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83672040601001201401607977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1983
#3
37.40.0
38.3→38.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 11.6
2557
#16
25.80.1
26.1→26.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2046
#1
22.20.0
23.1→23.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.9
956
#15
23.10.2
23.4→23.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3663
#23
18.00.0
18.8→18.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.8
488
#10
19.80.1
20.1→20.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—