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Red68
255725.8
48819.8
95623.1
Blue116
247131.3
371113.2
36022.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7258020408010012014068116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2557
#16
25.80.0
26.126.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
31.30.9
29.330.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
956
#15
23.10.0
23.523.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
360
#7
22.00.9
20.020.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
488
#10
19.80.0
20.220.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
3711
#40
13.21.1
10.811.9
Auto
Teleop
End