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Red1
15718.4
21925.9
384110.9
Blue48
32108.6
25507.3
131817.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13210406080148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3841
#11
10.91.1
5.34.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
1318
#17
17.22.0
10.412.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1571
#46
8.41.1
4.73.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
3210
#33
8.62.3
3.96.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2192
#30
5.91.1
4.13.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
2550
#36
7.32.3
5.78.0
Auto
Teleop
End