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Red17
20876.5
299017.6
37125.5
Blue0
29442.2
29157.4
31652.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27160406080100170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2990
#13
17.60.5
13.613.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.2
2915
#28
7.41.5
5.54.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2087
#50
6.50.7
8.98.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
3165
#44
2.51.5
11.29.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3712
#32
5.53.1
5.52.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
2944
#39
2.21.2
1.1-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End