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Red50
25177.9
23742.2
247131.3
Blue49
281114.9
24117.4
292825.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31300102040506070805049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.31.3
23.624.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
2928
#21
25.51.3
16.818.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
7.91.2
3.14.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.1
2811
#18
14.91.1
11.812.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2374
#37
2.21.3
3.85.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
2411
#31
7.41.5
2.13.6
Auto
Teleop
End