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Red40
9979.9
25214.0
366318.0
Blue23
31317.1
292825.5
371113.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2038060801004023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3663
#23
18.00.9
14.415.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
2928
#21
25.50.6
24.123.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
997
#29
9.91.4
7.69.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
3711
#40
13.21.0
3.32.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2521
#48
4.01.4
0.62.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
3131
#45
7.11.0
8.07.0
Auto
Teleop
End