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Red3
21925.9
36732.4
29442.2
Blue2
24117.4
29157.4
7536.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6200103040506032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2192
#30
5.90.4
3.32.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
2915
#28
7.41.3
7.46.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3673
#56
2.40.4
5.14.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
2411
#31
7.41.3
5.94.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2944
#39
2.20.2
-0.5-0.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
753
#53
6.90.8
4.94.0
Auto
Teleop
End