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Quarterfinal 2-12011 Philadelphia Regional
Red80
39529.7
43310.5
30414.3
Blue50
31616.5
139113.7
48626.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions546202040801001201401608050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
395
#5
29.70.4
29.7→30.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.0
486
#6
26.60.2
27.9→27.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
304
#23
14.30.6
14.5→15.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.1
316
#27
16.50.2
17.7→17.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
433
#31
10.50.4
10.6→11.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.2
1391
#7
13.70.2
15.0→14.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—