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Semifinal 1-32011 Philadelphia Regional
Red0
151712.8
34136.2
164728.4
Blue54
139113.7
48626.6
31616.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87530100150200054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#3
36.21.4
37.5→36.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.6
486
#6
26.60.1
27.2→27.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1647
#1
28.41.4
29.7→28.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 11.9
316
#27
16.50.1
17.1→17.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1517
#37
12.81.4
14.2→12.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.9
1391
#7
13.70.1
14.3→14.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—