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Semifinal 1-22011 Philadelphia Regional
Red68
164728.4
34136.2
151712.8
Blue34
48626.6
139113.7
31616.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions875501001502006834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#3
36.20.2
37.8→37.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.6
486
#6
26.60.4
27.6→27.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1647
#1
28.40.2
30.0→29.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 11.9
316
#27
16.50.4
17.5→17.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1517
#37
12.80.2
14.4→14.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.9
1391
#7
13.70.4
14.7→14.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—