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Quarterfinal 3-12011 Philadelphia Regional
Red48
36536.5
164020.0
30317.4
Blue82
140323.5
171210.7
81620.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions844601001504882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#8
36.50.5
38.2→37.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.9
1403
#12
23.50.5
22.6→23.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1640
#2
20.00.5
21.1→20.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.4
816
#11
20.40.5
19.5→20.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
303
#30
17.40.5
18.4→17.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.6
1712
#35
10.70.7
9.7→10.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—