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Quarterfinal 3-22011 Philadelphia Regional
Red78
36536.5
30317.4
164020.0
Blue70
171210.7
140323.5
81620.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions814801001507870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#8
36.50.0
37.7→37.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.9
1403
#12
23.50.3
23.1→23.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1640
#2
20.00.0
20.6→20.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.4
816
#11
20.40.3
20.0→20.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
303
#30
17.40.0
17.9→18.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.6
1712
#35
10.70.4
10.4→10.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—