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Qual 302011 Philadelphia Regional
Red26
30317.4
81620.4
301518.9
Blue54
5630.7
7087.8
14955.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions583202040801001202654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
816
#11
20.41.4
16.3→14.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 10.3
56
#10
30.70.9
29.4→30.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3015
#42
18.91.4
21.6→20.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 11.1
708
#36
7.81.0
1.4→2.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
303
#30
17.41.5
15.6→14.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 11.9
1495
#21
5.51.5
4.7→6.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—