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Qual 312011 Philadelphia Regional
Red21
31820.6
114312.2
272915.8
Blue39
31673.7
22297.3
130221.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30291520253540452139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2729
#40
15.80.5
14.2→13.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.2
1302
#15
21.90.5
17.9→18.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1143
#49
12.20.5
15.5→15.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.8
2229
#46
7.30.8
3.4→4.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3182
#55
0.60.5
0.4→-0.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.1
3167
#34
3.70.8
7.7→8.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—