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Qual 352011 Philadelphia Regional
Red7
19809.1
139113.7
31510.2
Blue20
260712.2
36911.3
1027.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18260406080100720

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1391
#7
13.70.6
11.2→10.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.5
2607
#16
12.20.3
7.7→7.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1980
#33
9.10.7
5.0→4.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.2
369
#29
11.30.3
8.7→8.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3151
#56
0.21.0
2.7→1.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.9
102
#20
7.10.3
8.7→8.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—