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Red3
43310.5
20534.6
26411.5
Blue0
4238.1
31616.5
7091.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15140102030405030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
433
#31
10.50.6
5.95.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
316
#27
16.50.7
10.29.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2053
#19
4.60.6
7.06.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
423
#47
8.10.7
6.86.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2641
#25
1.50.6
1.40.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
709
#51
1.20.8
-2.6-3.4
Auto
Teleop
End