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Qual 522011 Philadelphia Regional
Red68
22512.3
31616.5
260712.2
Blue44
22297.3
223413.5
30317.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24350204060806844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#27
16.52.1
10.3→12.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.9
303
#30
17.40.5
15.2→15.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
225
#39
12.32.1
7.8→9.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.2
2234
#38
13.50.5
13.6→14.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2607
#16
12.22.1
8.1→10.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.9
2229
#46
7.30.9
4.9→5.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—