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Qual 532011 Philadelphia Regional
Red4
36295.3
171210.7
151712.8
Blue90
164728.4
43310.5
34136.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19690406080100120140160490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1517
#37
12.81.2
10.7→9.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 23.4
341
#3
36.21.4
31.8→33.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1712
#35
10.71.9
9.7→7.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 17.6
1647
#1
28.41.4
23.8→25.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3629
#22
5.31.9
6.7→4.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.2
433
#31
10.51.4
6.0→7.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—