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Red34
35118.8
162918.9
26562.8
Blue41
32603.9
103814.1
35043.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1319010304050603441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
#22
18.91.6
10.612.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
14.11.9
10.512.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3511
#25
8.81.6
1.63.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
3260
#12
3.91.9
3.85.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2656
#35
2.81.6
2.03.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
3504
#30
3.21.9
3.85.7
Auto
Teleop
End