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Red33
12498.9
31938.1
261417.2
Blue2
17085.8
20514.4
1172.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27160406080332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.20.6
14.314.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.4
1708
#34
5.81.3
4.93.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1249
#20
8.90.6
6.87.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
2051
#36
4.41.3
8.97.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3193
#31
8.10.6
4.45.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
117
#37
2.71.3
3.82.5
Auto
Teleop
End