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Quarterfinal 4-12011 Sacramento Regional
Red3
245614.4
32566.3
167115.9
Blue6
273311.6
15699.5
325010.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3936020608036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#5
15.90.7
16.6→15.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.4
2733
#20
11.60.6
13.3→12.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2456
#12
14.40.7
15.1→14.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.7
3250
#9
10.70.6
12.4→11.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3256
#40
6.30.7
7.0→6.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.2
1569
#8
9.50.6
11.2→10.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—