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Quarterfinal 4-22011 Sacramento Regional
Red68
245614.4
32566.3
167115.9
Blue0
273311.6
15699.5
325010.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37350206080680

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#5
15.90.6
15.9→16.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.4
2733
#20
11.60.7
12.6→11.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2456
#12
14.40.6
14.4→15.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.7
3250
#9
10.70.7
11.8→11.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3256
#40
6.30.6
6.2→6.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.2
1569
#8
9.50.7
10.5→9.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—