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Qual 232011 Sacramento Regional
Red24
132322.2
7017.8
207310.3
Blue7
325010.7
35542.6
2141-1.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338020406080100247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1323
#3
22.20.4
14.0→13.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 11.6
3250
#9
10.70.4
5.2→4.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2073
#16
10.30.4
9.9→9.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.7
3554
#44
2.60.4
0.8→0.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
701
#7
7.80.4
5.4→5.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.6
2141
#53
-1.80.4
5.3→4.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—