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Red12
21442.1
38665.6
273311.6
Blue39
11594.6
385913.2
245614.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18904060801239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2733
#20
11.60.4
9.59.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
2456
#12
14.42.4
5.57.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3866
#46
5.60.4
2.21.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
13.22.4
2.85.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2144
#25
2.10.4
4.74.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
1159
#36
4.62.4
1.84.2
Auto
Teleop
End