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Red45
366912.4
34822.7
25517.9
Blue5
20856.7
15164.1
32566.3
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1122030405060455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3669
#29
12.42.7
5.88.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
2085
#22
6.71.3
4.53.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2551
#17
7.92.7
5.98.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
3256
#40
6.31.3
12.210.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3482
#31
2.72.7
1.03.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
1516
#50
4.11.3
3.42.1
Auto
Teleop
End