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Red2
1009.9
14587.8
8412.6
Blue35
23905.7
21563.4
132322.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19270103040506070235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100
#21
9.91.5
11.810.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.4
22.20.8
13.514.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1458
#37
7.81.5
8.06.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
2390
#34
5.70.8
8.08.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
841
#47
2.61.5
0.8-0.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
2156
#32
3.40.8
4.14.9
Auto
Teleop
End