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Red14
190216.1
10518.9
3426.1
Blue45
31644.0
9513.5
187510.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20190103040501445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1902
#29
16.10.3
12.512.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
95
#11
13.51.3
8.910.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1051
#21
8.90.4
1.00.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
10.21.3
6.57.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
342
#19
6.10.4
5.65.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
3164
#26
4.01.3
4.25.5
Auto
Teleop
End