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Qual 372011 Palmetto Regional
Red11
28159.2
15399.6
261419.4
Blue4
34893.4
19591.2
34904.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4080206080100114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#3
19.41.2
18.5→17.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 15.2
3490
#35
4.10.7
2.8→2.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1539
#8
9.62.0
8.7→6.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.2
3489
#43
3.40.7
4.1→3.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2815
#23
9.21.2
8.1→6.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.0
1959
#42
1.20.7
5.8→5.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—