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Qual 312011 Alamo Regional
Red27
34784.4
38201.5
284820.6
Blue0
2880-0.1
147715.2
37001.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23150406080270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2848
#2
20.60.4
12.8→13.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.4
1477
#10
15.21.4
10.7→9.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3478
#22
4.40.4
4.7→5.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.9
3700
#59
1.51.4
2.4→1.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3820
#38
1.50.4
4.6→5.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.7
2880
#56
-0.11.4
3.5→2.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—