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Red5
34171.5
11827.2
9225.0
Blue0
29820.8
33451.8
37250.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27602040608010050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#3
27.21.5
16.014.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.4
3345
#64
1.80.8
1.70.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
922
#23
5.01.5
2.10.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
2982
#49
0.80.8
3.93.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3417
#18
1.51.5
5.53.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
3725
#43
0.50.8
3.73.0
Auto
Teleop
End