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Qual 562011 Smoky Mountain Regional
Red18
17667.4
36756.2
124910.1
Blue0
32276.5
23936.7
38440.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27200406080100180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1249
#20
10.10.4
11.8→11.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.4
2393
#22
6.71.6
9.0→7.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1766
#17
7.40.7
8.4→7.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.9
3227
#25
6.51.0
8.4→7.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3675
#18
6.20.6
6.0→5.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.4
3844
#33
0.81.6
3.4→1.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—