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Qual 572011 Smoky Mountain Regional
Red2
28174.8
38614.5
27757.6
Blue57
82923.9
29745.9
45114.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174206080100257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2775
#46
7.61.5
10.8→9.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 16.4
829
#28
23.91.0
21.3→22.3
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Teleop—
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Second
2817
#42
4.81.5
4.9→3.4
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Teleop—
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blue by 9.9
451
#15
14.71.0
13.5→14.5
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Teleop—
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Third
3861
#41
4.51.5
5.0→3.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.5
2974
#44
5.91.0
2.9→3.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—